The UCPN-M cadres are strongly committed for giving a final blow to the establishment and they are found very confident about their victory. The UCPN-M leadership has been saying that it would launch a nationwide revolt if a national government is not formed under the UCPN-M leadership and a constitution is not drafted by 28 May. In preparation, the party has intensified its semi-armed training to its cadres and also to the locals nationwide. Reports from all over the country state that the YCL leaders are providing semi-military training to the UCPN-M guerillas and also to the locals aged from 13 to 20 for a “final war”. School teachers, students, local youths have been selected for the training. Although the top brass leaders are saying that the party is only providing political instruction to its cadres, many of the UCPN-M leaders have confirmed that the party is preparing for a final revolt to introduce a “people’s constitution”. Encouraged from recent developments abroad:The recent capture of the state by the rebellion force from the streets in Kyrgyzstan by heating up the streets and also the capturing of government owned institutions through demonstration by the “red-shirt” group in Bangkok to topple-down the present government, which was also empowered through street demonstration, probably has encouraged the Maoists to try and do the same.Also, the killing of 74 security personnel by the Indian Maoists in India in the recent past has also encouraged the UCPN-M plan to move forward for a communist rule here. UCPN-M leader CP Gajurel has publicly said that the party has moral support for the Maoist war in India. It is learnt that some Nepali Maoist leaders are in contact with the Indian Maoists.Repetition of April 2006:The UCPN-M leaders have already said that now the party is preparing for capture of the urban areas and it is also preparing for bringing its so called “supporters” in the urban areas with the aim of demonstrating a human sea in protest against the present government.The party is using the same tactics used in 2006 April uprising, when the party had brought people through “Gharlauri” programme (forcing village people to join the demonstration by giving different threats). To recall, in 2006 April also, the people were forced to join the agitation as they received threats from the Maoists. People’s Constitution from the streets:The UCPN-M has understood that it is impossible to introduce a “people’s constitution” (one-party communist constitution that has been described in the election manifesto of the party during the CA elections) from the CA and thus has aimed to announce a favourable constitution for the party from the streets. Supporting Madhesi parties:To gain strength, the UCPN-M is planning to back the “one Madhesh movement” initiated by the pro-Madhesh parties. In this the Indian hidden powers may be supportive, but considering the threat for India itself, maybe the Madhesi parties will be used against the Maoists, like it was done in the past. Political history of Nepal:The party has minutely analysed in detail about the political history of Nepal. In the 1950s, the then Rana regime was removed through an armed revolt led by the Nepali Congress. In 1979 also, the King was compelled to proclaim referendum on the improved panchayat system or multiparty democracy after a street agitation.In 1989, the street demonstration jointly organized by the Nepali Congress and the Left forces totally sponsored by the Indians, compelled the then king Birendra to handover executive power to the agitating force.On 24 April, 2006 also, the seven-party plus Maoist demonstration under the total sponsorship of New Delhi compelled King Gyanendra to handover the executive power to the agitating force. The UCPN-M has understood this political history and thus it is trying to get into power by removing the government of the democratic alliance through demonstrations from the streets. As the UCPN-M penetration in the human rights organizations are very high, they plan to draw attention of the international community, including the West and India, by pretending that they really have the people’s support by demonstrating human sea in urban areas, including the Kathmandu Valley. In such a way, the UCPN-M is planning to introduce a communist rule in the country. Many analysts have also pointed out that the Maoists have been encouraged to initiate such a drastic plan of capturing state power and implementing one party communist rule, as the democratic forces are scattered and divided. If the democratic forces don’t realize this even now, then it will be too late to rescue the nation from another dictatorial system and government.
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